One of the most glaring deficiencies of the Watchtower's 1914 doctrine is the obvious fact that it has now been 90 years since 1914, and virtually everyone who originally witnessed the events associated with the Great War has long since passed away.
Up until 1995, the Watchtower fostered the belief among Jehovah's Witnesses that some of the 1914 generation would still be alive to see the end. As recently as 1993, the Watchtower stated: "Thus, all the features of the last days must take place within the lifetime of one generation, the generation of 1914. So some people who were alive in 1914 will still be alive when this system comes to its end. That generation of people is now very advanced in years, indicating that there is not much time left before God brings this present system of things to an end."
Because Jesus used the term "generation" in context with the wicked faithlessness of the majority of the Jews, the November 1st, 1995, Watchtower has endeavored to redefine a generation in order to retain the 1914 doctrine. Jehovah's Witnesses now believe that the term "generation" has no connection to the duration of a group of people living at a specific time.
However, it seems the "adjustment" in our understanding raises more questions than it answers. For example, why did Jehovah's Witnesses believe for so long that the generation that would not pass away was a reliable means of determining where we stood in time?
Also, why doesn't the 20th Century fulfillment follow the same pattern as the 1st Century?
Consider when Jesus pronounced sentence upon the faithless Jewish generation, saying to them at Matthew 23:36: "Truly I say to you, all these things will come upon this generation." In the 1st Century, the generation that heard Jesus' pronouncement of doom did not pass away until the destruction of Jerusalem.
The apostles were not part of the wicked and adulterous generation, but most of them also lived to personally see "all these things," including the destruction of Jerusalem. That's why Jesus gave them an illustration to emphasize the point, saying: "Now learn from the fig tree as an illustration this point: Just as soon as its young branch grows tender and it puts forth leaves, you know that summer is near. Likewise also you, when you see all these things, know that he is near at the doors. Truly I say to you that this generation will by no means pass away until all these things occur."
The word "you" appears four times in the verses quoted. Originally, it applied to the apostles, who were Jesus' direct audience at the time. And as far as the destruction of the temple and the Jewish system, some of them actually lived to "see all these things" occur.
But, in the grander fulfillment have you personally witnessed the events that took place in 1914—the so-called "beginning of the pangs of distress"? Has anyone witnessed "all these things" Jesus foretold?
For that matter, who of us today can say they have personally witnessed any of the things foretold? If not, are we to suppose that Jesus merely intended for his disciples to "see" the sign of his presence by reading history books or by word of mouth accounts handed down from long-since deceased eyewitnesses?
Or do we merely see the sign of Christ's presence through the pages of the Watchtower?
Jehovah's Witnesses recognize there are many aspects of the sign of Jesus' presence that have still not developed yet. That means it is now impossible for any individual to personally "see all these things," since those who personally witnessed the events of 1914 are no longer alive to see the finale.
But, according to the "Look!" brochure quoted at the onset, the Watchtower asserts that many people have seen the sign of Jesus' presence. The Watchtower asks: "Have you experienced the war destruction, the food shortages, or any of the great earthquakes that have plagued the earth since 1914? If so, you have been an eyewitness of "the sign" of "the time of the end" of this system of things."
But honestly, how many people today have "experienced" the sign of Christ's presence? Personally, I have been alive for over a half century and I have never "been an eyewitness" to wars, food shortages, pestilences or earthquakes of any substantial magnitude. Most of the people I know in the United States have never experienced such things either. True, my generation lived through the Vietnam War and I know a few men who went to faraway Vietnam to fight the Communists, but that is as close as I have personally come to being "an eyewitness" to any of the things Jesus foretold.
However, according to the Watchtower, modern civilizations' plague of heart disease, AIDS and cancer is also a fulfillment of the sign. Hence, the Watchtower states: "The Spanish influenza alone killed about 20,000,000 people following World War I—some estimates being 30,000,000 or more. AIDS has taken hundreds of thousands of lives and could take millions more in the near future. Each year millions of people die of heart ailments, cancer, and other diseases. Millions more die the slow death of hunger. Without a doubt the 'horsemen of the Apocalypse' with their wars, food shortages, and disease epidemics have been cutting down large numbers of the human family since 1914." "Does God really care about us?"
But, if the four horsemen of the Apocalypse commenced their deadly gallop in 1914, bringing with them the spectre of war, famine and pestilence, is it reasonable that the world's population should simultaneously be steadily increasing? Shouldn't we rather expect the population to be dramatically reduced when the prophetic horsemen begin reaping their deadly harvest?
For instance, during the time when the Black Death stalked the continent of Europe, the populations of some regions were reduced by as much as 50%! Entire towns were completely wiped out by the deadly scourge. In fact, many people back then believed the Black Death was the end of the world. But, do the degenerate diseases of Western Civilization, such as cancer and heart disease, even pose the same kind of menace as the bubonic plague of centuries past? Obviously not.
Also, does it make any sense that Jehovah's Witnesses are preaching that the world is being stalked by disease epidemics of apocalyptic proportions when, even according to the Watchtower, one of the major threats facing civilization today is exploding cities and overpopulation?
Furthermore, is it reasonable that the food shortages today are of such severity so as to fulfill prophecy when the Watchtower acknowledges that obesity is becoming a global epidemic?
After all, according to Revelation, a quarter of the earth's population is destined to succumb to the combined ravages of the three horsemen. The Apocalypse says: "And I saw, and, look! a pale horse; and the one seated upon it had the name Death. And Hades was closely following him. And authority was given them over the fourth part of the earth, to kill with a long sword and with food shortage and with deadly plague and by the wild beasts of the earth."
What does it mean that "the fourth part of the earth" is given over to the authority of Death? If words mean anything, particularly God's words, the fourth part must evidently signify that approximately 25%, or about one-quarter of the world, is destined to fall victim to the authority of the apocalyptic horsemen. Do the number of deaths attributed to the wars, famines and pestilences of the 20th Century approximate one-quarter of the earth's population then? Let's see.
In 1900, there were about 1.5 billion people on earth. (Presumably more in 1914) There were about 8-9 million men killed during WWI and an additional 20-40 million unfortunate souls perished from the Spanish Flu pandemic in 1918. Apparently there were no major famines during that same period. So, let's take the high-end number of deaths from the Spanish Flu and round up the deaths from WWI to 10 million for a combined total of 50 million. What percentage of 1.5 billion is 50 million?
About 3%.
Obviously, that is nowhere near one-fourth of the world's population in 1914-19.
But what about taking into consideration all of the deaths from war, famine and pestilence during the entire 20th Century, as the Watchtower does?
For example, the Watchtower often states that the numerous wars of the past century claimed over 100 million lives.
But, the problem is, as previously stated, that the earth's population is expanding, now exponentially, in spite of the horrendous death toll of war, famine and pestilence.
So, if we take the 100 million figure, and even add an additional 150 million to it for all sorts of untimely deaths, that hypothetical quarter of a billion dead still only represents roughly 4% of the world's present population, which now stands at over 6,000,000,000.
Is God's word exaggerating when it states that the four horsemen are given authority "over the fourth part of the earth"? Or is it more reasonable to conclude that the sign of Christ's presence has not appeared yet?
Just as the Watchtower cannot authoritatively assure us that there will not be another world war, neither can they validly discount the possibility that food shortages and pandemics may occur in the future on a scale never before experienced.
In the event of a major war or perhaps a terror attack using weapons of mass destruction, the already-teetering financial system and world economy would no doubt crash. Food production and distribution would likely be disrupted—creating food shortages. Vaccines and other health services may not be available—setting the stage for pandemics to sweep the globe. And it is not out of the question that future pestilences may even be the result of manmade biological weapons.
Such a grim scenario would spell the collapse of civilization into what is called a new dark age.
Jesus' own words concerning the sign of his presence being manifest in the sun turning black and the silvery moon turning to blood, and the stars falling from heaven, seem to presage a new dark age.
Ironically, though, the Watchtower's 1914 doctrine stands to feature prominently in the outworking of the sign of Christ's presence. How so?
In further answer to the apostle's request for a sign of his presence, Jesus went on to foretell: "Then people will deliver you up to tribulation and will kill you, and you will be objects of hatred by all the nations on account of my name. Then, also, many will be stumbled and will betray one another and will hate one another. And many false prophets will arise and mislead many; and because of the increasing of lawlessness the love of the greater number will cool off. But he that has endured to the end is the one that will be saved. And this good news of the kingdom will be preached in all the inhabited earth for a witness to all the nations; and then the end will come." (Matthew 24:9-14)
If the First World War was the "beginning of pangs of distress" that Jesus had foretold then we should expect to see the other facets of the sign of Christ's presence in evidence also. Have we? Let us consider each aspect separately.
There is no question but that in the past 100 years Jehovah's Witnesses have been one of the most hated and maligned people in the world. The persecution of Jehovah's Witnesses by the Nazis is well known. During the 1930's and 40's, Jehovah's Witnesses in the United States were subjected to waves of intense mob violence and harassment in the United States. During the 1970's, the government of Malawi sanctioned the vicious persecution of Jehovah's Witnesses, resulting in thousands being killed and brutalized. Jehovah's Witnesses are presently being persecuted in numerous former Soviet countries. (See jw-media.org.)
But can we positively say that these persecutions, past and present, make up the sign of the conclusion of the system of things? Or is it possible that all of the persecutions up to this point are merely a preview of what is to come?
Consider more closely the parallel account of Christ's prophecy as it appears in Mark: "As for you, look out for yourselves; people will deliver you up to local courts, and you will be beaten in synagogues and be put on the stand before governors and kings for my sake, for a witness to them. Also, in all the nations the good news has to be preached first. But when they are leading you along to deliver you up, do not be anxious beforehand about what to speak; but whatever is given you in that hour, speak this, for you are not the ones speaking, but the holy spirit is. Furthermore, brother will deliver brother over to death, and a father a child, and children will rise up against parents and have them put to death; and you will be objects of hatred by all people on account of my name. But he that has endured to the end is the one that will be saved."
Have Jehovah's Witnesses been placed on the stand before the governors and rulers of the world "for a witness to them"? True, some court cases involving the unjust persecution and banning of Jehovah's Witnesses have attained national and even international prominence. The recent banning of Jehovah's Witnesses in Moscow is an example. But do such cases really fulfill the requirements of Christ's prophetic sign? Remember, the Watchtower has compared the sign of Christ's presence to a unique fingerprint. The question is: are past events of the 20th Century an exact match of what Christ foretold would happen?
Consider one aspect more closely: When Jesus instructed his followers not to be anxious about their legal plight and to "settle it in your hearts not to rehearse beforehand how to make your defense," (Luke 21:14-16) doesn't that rule out lawyers even being involved? After all, isn't being represented by a lawyer for the purpose of making a defense. Furthermore, do modern legal cases involving the Watchtower Society really allow Jehovah's Witnesses to give a witness concerning the kingdom of God before government officials? Or is it more the case of legal wrangling between government and Watchtower lawyers? In contrast with Christ's counsel, what attorney would dare go to court without first carefully rehearsing beforehand how to make a defense for their client? Are we to assume the holy spirit speaks to the governmental rulers through legal petitions filed by Watchtower attorneys? The pattern found in the Holy Scriptures indicates otherwise.
Jesus Christ stood before the Jewish High priest, King Herod and the Roman governor Pilate without an attorney present. His defense was very simple. Peter, James and John also gave a witness before the Jewish high court without having some attorney speak for them in the legalese of that day. Paul even appeared before Caesar in Rome in order to give a witness concerning Christ's kingdom.
But, have rank-and-file Jehovah's Witnesses ever appeared before high-ranking officials without being represented by lawyers and preparing a legal defense beforehand? While Jehovah's Witnesses may assume that the underlying kingdom issue is the paramount in such instances where the Watchtower's lawyers seek legal redress for bannings and persecutions, we should not diminish the bold witness given by Christ and the apostles by making such comparisons.
When Daniel was summoned to Belshazzar's Feast to decipher the handwriting on the wall for the doomed monarch, he no doubt established a pattern and portent of things to come during the time of the end. No doubt that is when the chosen ones and company "will shine as brightly as the sun in the kingdom of their Father" as they issue Jehovah's final proclamation to the rulers of this doomed world.
Moreover, the persecutions of Jehovah's Witnesses to date do not seem to approach the scale or severity Christ was describing when he foretold: "Furthermore, brother will deliver brother over to death, and a father a child, and children will rise up against parents and have them put to death."
The familial betrayal of Christians is a significant feature of the sign of the conclusion of the system. If the time of the end commenced in 1914, shouldn't this characteristic of Christ's prophecy be as prominent as the wars, famines and pestilences? Perhaps there may have been occasions in Nazi Germany during the Holocaust when one of Jehovah's Witnesses was betrayed into death by a family member, but if there ever were such instances they were very rare.
However, the Hebrew prophecies point forward to a time when the Christian society will be shattered and spiritual brothers will turn upon one another in large numbers to have them put to death. For example, the entire 7th chapter of Micah has to do with the fall and subsequent restoration of Jehovah's people during the conclusion. Specifically, Micah 7:2 says: "The loyal one has perished from the earth, and among mankind there is no upright one. All of them, for bloodshed they lie in wait. They hunt, everyone his own brother, with a dragnet."
Micah went on to say: "Do not put your faith in a companion. Do not put your trust in a confidential friend. From her who is lying in your bosom guard the openings of your mouth. For a son is despising a father; a daughter is rising up against her mother; a daughter-in-law against her mother-in-law; a man's enemies are the men of his household."
It might be hard for Jehovah's Witnesses to visualize the organization ever imploding upon itself, while brothers and sisters turn upon each other in acts of treachery and betrayal; but it is equally difficult for most people to imagine the present system violently collapsing. Yet, we are assured by the prophets that Jehovah is going to rock this world to its very foundation.
Consider a possible future scenario:
A small political group dubbed neo-conservatives, presently in control of the last remaining superpower, envisions transforming the United States into a new Roman Empire, with world conquest in view. Sober observers of political developments have been sounding an alarm for some time concerning the creeping danger of the United States coming under the control of a fascist dictatorship. One political scientist, cited on The Project for the Old American Century website, lists 14 characteristics common to fascist regimes that are now in full evidence in the present American administration. Not only that, if passed into law the proposed Patriot Act II amounts to the revocation of the United States' Constitution. Under certain circumstances Jehovah's Witnesses could conceivably even be classified as 'enemies of the state.' In the wake of the recent (2004) presidential elections, it would seem that a fundamentalist-controlled fascist regime is now firmly in place and consolidating its grip on power; waiting only for the next crisis to erupt as a pretext for eliminating the last vestiges of freedom we presently enjoy in the so-called free world.
Let no one doubt that the inevitable transformation of the United States government into a tyrannical despotic regime will have dire consequences for all nations on earth—and especially Jehovah's Witnesses. (See essay: "Doom of the Anglo-American Dyad")
As for the spiritual condition of the organization, there is already a detectable spirit of disillusionment and waning zeal reflected among a growing number of Jehovah's Witnesses. Meanwhile, growing numbers of outsiders and ex-Witnesses consider the Watchtower Society to be a dangerous brain-washed cult. The persecution of Jehovah's Witnesses in times past testifies how easily public sentiment can be inflamed, particularly during the hysteria of war.
While the vast majority of Jehovah's Witnesses are content to unquestioningly follow the Watchtower at the moment, what happens when the Watchtower's prophetic expectations are undeniably discredited by unanticipated developments in the world? Then what?
For example, the Watchtower has repeatedly stated that the great tribulation commences when the United Nations destroys Babylon the Great—including all of Christendom. However, the Scriptures do not support the Watchtower's speculative interpretations. (See essay: "Babylon the Great—When does it Fall?")
Worse, Jehovah's Witnesses have been led to believe that we will more or less be idle bystanders to God's judgments. Instead, the prophecies clearly indicate that the judgment commences with the house of God. (See essay: "The Watchtower—a Unique Calamity)
So, the question posed here is: What will happen when Bethel is silenced at the critical juncture when Jehovah's Witnesses look to them for guidance?—even as Hosea foretells: "And I will put your mother to silence. My people will certainly be silenced, because there is no knowledge."
In the inevitable confusion and madness of war, famine, pestilence, financial collapse and the ultimate humiliation and desolation of the Watchtower Society, we may expect the presently simmering hatred and fear of Jehovah's Witnesses to erupt into persecution on a scale never before experienced. Jehovah's Witnesses who blindly follow the Watchtower with no real attachment to Jehovah will likely become completely bewildered and confounded. Indeed, in the context of Micah's prophecy concerning brothers being betrayed by brothers, the prophet says: "The day of your watchmen, of your being given attention, must come. Now will occur the confounding of them."
Under conditions of a police state it does not require a great deal of imagination to envision the faithless among us cracking under pressure and betraying their former brothers and family members into death, as Christ forewarned when he said: "Then, also, many will be stumbled and will betray one another and will hate one another. And many false prophets will arise and mislead many…"
Tragically, the Watchtower really has no insight into these vital matters. They would have us believe that the "many," who "will be stumbled" and "betray one another," are not Christians. As many times as the Watchtower has cited the 24th chapter of Matthew they have rarely even offered a single word of commentary on the verses quoted above. We are left to suppose that it is an insignificant feature of the sign of Christ's presence.
Ironically, the 1914 doctrine stands as an enormous stumbling block to all of Jehovah's Witnesses when once the actual presence of Christ commences! At that point the 1914 doctrine will become completely discredited as a false prophecy and those who continue to cling to it will be misled from accepting Christ during that critical time.
Another part of the sign of Christ's presence is an "increasing of lawlessness." But what exactly was Jesus foretelling when he said: "Because of the increasing of lawlessness the love of the greater number will cool off"? The Watchtower has always maintained that the "increasing of lawlessness" has to do with an increase in crime of all sorts. However, there are a few problems with that interpretation.
Crime statistics for the United States indicate that for the last decade crime has been decreasing—not increasing. There is no question that the 1960's through the early 1990's saw an increasing of crime of all sorts, but the trend has undeniably been reversed—at least in the United States, which is one of the most violent and lawless nations in the world.
However, the word "lawlessness," as it is used in the Scriptures, pertains to religious hypocrisy and rebellion against God. Jesus used the word on three other occasions. For example, on the Sermon on the Mount Jesus said he would say to the hypocrites who pretend to serve him: "And yet then I will confess to them: I never knew you! Get away from me, you workers of lawlessness."
In connection with the judgment upon the weed-like Christians, Jesus said: "The Son of man will send forth his angels, and they will collect out from his kingdom all things that cause stumbling and persons who are doing lawlessness, and they will pitch them into the fiery furnace."
In judgment of the hypocritical Pharisees Jesus said: "In that way you also, outwardly indeed, appear righteous to men, but inside you are full of hypocrisy and lawlessness."
In each of the texts above "lawlessness" was used in reference to spiritual corruption among those who claimed to serve God. It is apparent, then, Jesus was foretelling an increasing of hypocrisy and apostasy in his congregation as an aspect of the sign of his presence—not an increasing of criminal activity. No doubt the presence of the apostasy-promoting "man of lawlessness" is the reason for the "increasing of lawlessness" in the "temple of The God," as a prelude to the ultimate manifestation of Christ's presence. (See essay: "The Mystery of the Antichrist")
What about the world-wide preaching work of Jehovah's Witnesses?
In the Bible book of Mark, Jesus foretold: "In all the nations the good news has to be preached first," we might ask the question: First, before what? Presently, we understand Jesus' words to mean first—before the end of the system. That's because Jesus said in the often-quoted 24th chapter of Matthew: "And this good news of the kingdom will be preached in all the inhabited earth for a witness to all the nations; and then the end will come."
So, we have a riddle—a paradox. On the one hand, in the gospel of Matthew Jesus says the good news will be preached before the end, but in Mark he says it must be preached first—before the persecution and seemingly—before "nation will rise against nation and kingdom against kingdom."
That is made even more apparent in the 21st chapter of Luke, where Jesus said: "But before all these things people will lay their hands upon you and persecute you, delivering you up to the synagogues and prisons." "Before all these things" has reference to the wars, food shortages and fearful sights from heaven Jesus foretold in the previous verse.
Could it be that the world-wide kingdom preaching work that has already been accomplished by Jehovah's Witnesses and the persecutions suffered up to this point are preliminary to the actual appearance of the sign of Christ's presence, but that during Christ's presence a great final witness will be delivered—"and then the end will come"? There are numerous reasons to believe that is true.
Again, consider the 1st Century pattern: Shortly after Jesus commenced his ministry he also trained and dispatched 70 disciples to herald the coming of the kingdom of God. It is noteworthy, however, that the apostles and disciples only had a rudimentary grasp of what the kingdom of God actually was at that time. Among other things, they were laboring under the false impression that Jesus was going to restore the earthly throne of David and rule from Jerusalem. They really had no idea at the time that Christ's kingdom was going to be a heavenly kingdom and that Jesus and his co-rulers were going to become immortal heavenly beings. The apostles also assumed the kingdom was going to begin ruling immediately. We are informed at Luke 19:11 that Jesus gave them an illustration because "they were imagining that the kingdom of God was going to display itself instantly." Remarkably, though, in spite of there ignorance, Jesus still commissioned them to preach.
However, after Jesus' resurrection the apostles and disciples had their minds fully opened to the real truth concerning God's kingdom. The 24th chapter of Luke reports: "So he said to them: ‘O senseless ones and slow in heart to believe on all the things the prophets spoke! Was it not necessary for the Christ to suffer these things and to enter into his glory?' And commencing at Moses and all the Prophets he interpreted to them things pertaining to himself in all the Scriptures." After anointing spirit was poured out, the early Christians became an indomitable spiritual force that undertook to evangelize the entire Mediterranean world.
Jesus' dealings with his 1st Century congregation stand as a pattern for us. We are in the same position relative to Christ's coming as were the apostles before Christ died. Just like the 70 disciples who were sent out to announce that God's kingdom had drawn near, Jehovah's Witnesses have raised awareness of vital spiritual matters concerning God's kingdom. But, like the 70 who were sent out, Jehovah's Witnesses are also laboring under various false assumptions. We, too, have had premature expectations; "imagining that the kingdom of God was going to display itself instantly."
According to virtually every prophetic book in the Bible, the arrival of Christ will result in a massive sifting and refining of all Christians. Afterwards there will be an outpouring of spirit and truth that will impel the faithful to embark on an intense preaching campaign that will serve to put the world on notice that the kingdom has finally come… "and then the end will come."
Copyright © 2004, by Robert King
All Rights Reserved.